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Date submitted2023-11-10
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Date accepted2024-06-03
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Date published2025-02-25
Enhancing the interpretability of electricity consumption forecasting models for mining enterprises using SHapley Additive exPlanations
- Authors:
- Pavel V. Matrenin
- Alina I. Stepanova
The objective of this study is to enhance user trust in electricity consumption forecasting systems for mining enterprises by applying explainable artificial intelligence methods that provide not only forecasts but also their justifications. The research object comprises a complex of mines and ore processing plants of a company purchasing electricity on the wholesale electricity and power market. Hourly electricity consumption data for two years, schedules of planned repairs and equipment shutdowns, and meteorological data were utilized. Ensemble decision trees were applied for time series forecasting, and an analysis of the impact of various factors on forecasting accuracy was conducted. An algorithm for interpreting forecast results using the SHapley Additive exPlanation method was proposed. The mean absolute percentage error was 7.84 % with consideration of meteorological factors, 7.41 % with consideration of meteorological factors and a load plan formulated by an expert, and the expert's forecast error was 9.85 %. The results indicate that the increased accuracy of electricity consumption forecasting, considering additional factors, further improves when combining machine learning methods with expert evaluation. The development of such a system is only feasible using explainable artificial intelligence models.
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Date submitted2019-06-22
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Date accepted2019-09-11
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Date published2020-04-24
Effective capacity building by empowerment teaching in the field of occupational safety and health management in mining
The paper is dealing with a developed concept named Empowerment Teaching, which is based on practical teaching experience gained in various mining universities. It is demonstrated that this concept can be used to increase the effectiveness of knowledge transfer to mining countries in the world, as well as to overcome cultural barriers between lecturers and their students. The two models of participatory training, which are proposed to be named “physical” and “emotional” models, are portrayed. The authors are convinced that participatory training methods can be an ideal answer to a challenge associated with workers’ competencies in mining, namely – the potential of highly motivated and well-educated young academics is often diminished by a lack of ability to apply their knowledge. A special emphasis is made on the possible application of empowerment teaching for educational and training activities in the field of occupational safety and health (OSH), which is a matter of utmost importance for the mining industry. Several benchmarking initiatives in the field of OSH (“safety culture”, zero-accident vision) are underlined to be encouraged and promoted by means of new teaching methods. The examples of successful international cooperation among universities are given, as well.
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Date submitted2019-03-17
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Date accepted2019-05-21
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Date published2019-08-23
Impact of External Factors on National Energy Security
- Authors:
- V. L. Ulanov
- E. Yu. Ulanova
The article examines both external and internal threats to national energy security, formulates the tasks of increasing energy security, discloses modern challenges, as well as measures to level them. In recent years, Russian economy has felt the growing influence of external threats and risks: unfair competition in world markets, high politicization of energy issues, and attempts to prevent Russia from monetizing national energy reserves. Influence of the use of renewable energy sources on national energy security, growth of liquefied natural gas production, stricter environmental requirements, changes in the demand for petroleum products, and introduction of anti-Russian sanctions are analyzed. The influence of internal risks is no less significant: quality of hydrocarbon reserves in the Russian Federation is declining, effectiveness of geological exploration is insufficient, and the share of hard-to-recover reserves is increasing. Energy security assessments are recommended taking into account modern challenges and on the basis of parameters such as ratio of the annual increase in the balance values of primary fuel and energy resources to the volume of their production, share of natural gas in the balance structure of primary fuel and energy resources, implementation of investment programs by fuel and energy sectors, change in the specific energy intensity of GDP, prices and etc.
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Date submitted2018-09-04
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Date accepted2018-11-16
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Date published2019-02-22
Development of an occupational safety management system based on the process approach
- Authors:
- V. A. Filimonov
- L. N. Gorina
The article discusses the relevance and possibility of using the process approach in the development and implementation of occupational safety management systems based on GOST 12.0.230-2007, which is the main document in this area for all industrial enterprises and organisations of the Russian Federation. The system of occupational safety management in the organisation is considered taking into account all its internal communications and input-output parameters. It is shown that the process approach used in the design of the occupational safety management system in the organisation, allows categorising the list of works (processes), participants, resources (responsible, performers, documents, etc.), the control and correction processes. The methodological substantiation of the process approach to the design of the occupational safety management system in the organisation is given, the basic issues of its applicability are considered. A context diagram of the process of an occupational safety management system is drawn in the IDEF0 graphical notation by means of the SADT structural analysis technology. The decomposition of the context diagram to the required levels of detail is presented and the balance factor of the models is calculated.
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Date submitted2014-11-18
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Date accepted2015-01-04
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Date published2015-10-26
A new stage in the development of the european natural gas market as a reflection of transition to national state capitalizm
- Authors:
- N. G. Privalov
- T. B. Li
This article is devoted to the analysis of a situation and tendencies of development in the European natural gas market. The evolution of «energetic doctrine» models – from domination of great state monopolies to a competitive energetic doctrine – has been happening for the last 60 years. «The new global energetic doctrine» which includes state and interstate regulation strengthening is being formed now. An aggravation of contradictions in the natural gas market is a manifestation of a new stage in the mixed economy formation – the national state capitalism.
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Date submitted2013-07-01
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Date accepted2013-09-13
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Date published2014-03-17
Analysis of accident and stages of effective safety management system on the example of «Vorkutaugol»
- Authors:
- E. G. Buldakova
- E. B. Gridina
The paper analyzes the time periods with significant differences on the level of technology of mining, production volumes in mines of «Vorkutaugol». The features of an integrated system of labor protection and industrial safety, realized in the merger.
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Date submitted2013-07-10
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Date accepted2013-09-19
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Date published2014-03-17
Occupational safety and health professional
- Authors:
- Z. N. Cherkai
The comparative data on the number of employees at work in hazardous conditions, the structure of the circumstances and conditions of professional diseases are identified causes of unsatisfactory working conditions.
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Date submitted2013-07-21
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Date accepted2013-09-04
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Date published2014-03-17
About the long-range programme for industrial and ecological safety in coal branch of industry
- Authors:
- V. V. Smirnyakova
The conditions and the main problems of Russian coal industry development have been envisaged, the purposes, problems and realization terms of the longrange programme for industrial and ecological safety in coal branch of industry and also amount of finance and waiting results have been shown in the article.
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Date submitted2013-07-26
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Date accepted2013-09-22
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Date published2014-03-17
Production of slate gas
- Authors:
- R. D. Magomet
In article economic, technical and ecological aspects of development and development of production of natural gas from slate breeds are considered. The comparative analysis of experience of production of slate gas is carried out to the USA, EEC, Russia.
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Date submitted2013-07-23
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Date accepted2013-09-14
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Date published2014-03-17
Experimental researches on definition energy costs of workers, depending on the parameters of the cooling microclimate
- Authors:
- A. F. Galkin
- R. G. Khusainova
The results of comprehensive research on the change of energy expenses, depending on the operating parameters of the cooling microclimate, on the basis of which is determined by the need to adjust the work and rest conditions for workers of the northern regions.
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Date submitted2009-10-05
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Date accepted2009-12-05
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Date published2010-09-22
Control of rock mass state in mining the sections at mines оf the Vorkutaugol JST: up-to-date practice
- Authors:
- O. V. Yamenko
- I. E. Plisko
The article briefly outlines the methods and measures used at mines of the Vorkutaugol JSC to control the stress strain state of rock massif. These measures help to increase face load and to ensure mine safety.
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Date submitted2009-09-07
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Date accepted2009-11-21
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Date published2010-06-25
Role of industrial out-movement in natural resources development of USSR in the 1920-1930th years
- Authors:
- I. V. Voloshinova
Migration politics is the main part of economic and social development of the country. State regulation of migration flows in Russia is a problem, which considers a lot of factors including the size of the territory, the scheme of resettlement, the length of border, the peculiarities of development of separate regions, labor market and etc. At regulation of migration flow such problems as rationalization of area distribution, effective usage of labour resources, formation of labour market and market lodging, increasing of qualification level of population are considered. Migration plays an important role of national politics and is one of priorities of government. This article considers the bases of rational resettlement and usage of labour resources in development of natural recourses.
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Date submitted2009-09-30
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Date accepted2009-11-19
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Date published2010-06-25
Relation to labour in the russian household culture
- Authors:
- S. I. Sorokin
Civilization basis, typical features and work ethics evolution principles in the Russian household culture have been highlighted. The special attention was given to the issues of cultural traditions formation at different national-economical environments. Distinctive features of Russian State Authority in household activity organization such as social paternalism, personification and authoritarianism have been determined.
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Date submitted2009-08-22
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Date accepted2009-10-30
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Date published2010-02-01
Individual thermosteam bath
- Authors:
- N. A. Kotenkov
In work the developed device – an individual thermosteam bath is presented, allowing to lower risk сooling diseases and other occupational diseases to raise comfort of conditions and labour productivity of miners. Distinctive feature consists that the head of the patient is out of a zone of influence of hot steam. Accordingly there is no loading on vessels of a brain and there is no oxygen lack. In the course of application of the given device vessels extend, blood goes on periphery, releasing all organism from the stagnant blood formed as a result of narrowing of vessels, arterial pressure is normalised, work of all bodies improves. The strengthened movement of blood promotes good thermoregulation, increase of immunity and adaptation of an organism to adverse environmental conditions.
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Date submitted2008-11-08
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Date accepted2009-01-26
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Date published2009-12-11
State customers as the target market segment of natural resources complex
- Authors:
- Y. N. Vasilyuev
- O. A. Marinina
State customer is one of the target segments in industrial marketing. There is a great demand for goods and services from the side of this segment. Thus, many enterprises plan their strategies paying attention to this fact. The article is devoted to the problems, which enterprises of the mining industry and its correlating branches have to deal targeting at the segment of state customers.
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Date submitted2008-11-02
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Date accepted2009-01-17
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Date published2009-12-11
Problems of development of the diamond complex on company «ALROS»
- Authors:
- V. M. Vasiltsova
- A. K. Belov
Diamond complex – one of the economy sectors, the kept potential of the expanded reproduction in the conditions of crisis. Russia, along with the republic of South Africa, Australia, Zaire, Botswana, Angola and Namibia is included into number of seven largest diamond-mining countries of the world and takes the second place in the world on volume of extraction of diamonds, being the world leader on stocks of diamond raw materials. Reserves of increase of efficiency at the separate enterprises and branch as a whole are revealed. Problems of strengthening of position of object of research on internal and a foreign market are defined.
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Date submitted2008-11-08
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Date accepted2009-01-26
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Date published2009-12-11
Principles optimization of expenses for the labour protection of the mining enterprises
Classification of damage from accidents and crashes is given. Procedure optimization expenses for a labour protection and definition of economically sound risk of accidents and crashes is offered. The estimation of economic efficiency of personnel development serving the self-propelled mining equipments on ore mine «Northern» of industrial complex «Pechenga Nikel» is carried out.
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Date submitted2008-11-12
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Date accepted2009-01-14
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Date published2009-12-11
Electronic commerce and its influence on business
- Authors:
- N. I. Sattarova
- G. A. Prudinsky
Electronic commerce can give new possibilities to any firm in any industrial sector. It can lead to change of the existing markets: the new markets can appear, and old – to disappear. A key condition of successful introduction of electronic commerce is increase of professional qualities of employees.
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Date submitted2008-11-21
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Date accepted2009-01-03
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Date published2009-12-11
Financial conglomerates: opportunities for cooperation with mining enterprises
- Authors:
- K. A. Shakhpazov
In this article it is argued whether there are significant opportunities for cooperation between financial conglomerates and the enterprises of the mining industry. The activities of financial conglomerates are not investigated thoroughly yet, as the alliances of that kind are of the relatively recent emergence and are now at the stage of rapid development. Their interactions with other industries have not been deeply researched either. Since the financial conglomerates have major influence on the modern world economical environment, it seems necessary to analyze the probable effect they may trigger in the strategic branch of Russian economy. This theme is particularly interesting nowadays, as the economical crisis demands for the search of new managerial solutions, including the financing sphere.
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Date submitted2008-11-21
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Date accepted2009-01-21
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Date published2009-12-11
Potential of russian Federal agency of state reserves in forming oil and oil products reserves system
- Authors:
- M. T. Kharisova
The article is dedicated to the problem of setting up strategic oil and oil products reserves which is necessary for ensuring national energy security. It is necessary to form a profound program of organizational, technical, technological, economic and financial measures aimed at implementation of this direction of state energy policy.
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Date submitted2008-11-11
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Date accepted2009-01-20
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Date published2009-12-11
Management of cost effectiveness models of industrial user power supply (with specific reference to Кemerovo region)
- Authors:
- S. M. Nikitenko
- A. A. Tucsin
This article describes general points of wholesale electricity market and retail electricity markets functioning during restructuring of Russian Power system. The payment scheme that supposes making contract with guaranteeing energy supplying company in retail electricity markets is described, there are also components of retail electricity markets and the scheme of weight-average unregulated price translation. Further the article determines requirements for industrial companies that want to go out to wholesale electricity market. There are also merits and demerits of going out to wholesale electricity market by making contract with energy supplier or going out without any assistance. The changes of payment in wholesale electricity market are shown. There are recommendations based on the analysis of the given information that helps to choose more efficient model energy supplying of industrial customer according to the consuming volume and the connection scheme to outer network system. The brief description of wholesale electricity market participants of Kemerovo region is given in the article.
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Date submitted2008-11-29
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Date accepted2009-01-30
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Date published2009-12-11
World experience in power industry reforming in a format of fuel-energy comlex
- Authors:
- A. Y. Nikolaeva
The paper highlight the most valuable for Russia economically developed countries experience of power industry reformation. There are prerequisites, goals and tasks of reformation, made transformations essence and their results and consequences.