Submit an Article
Become a reviewer
Vol 186
Pages:
165-169
Download volume:
RUS
Article

Forecasting the power consumption of mines on the basis of stochastic time-series models

Authors:
A. A. Chernysh1
O. B. Shonin2
About authors
  • 1 — Saint Petersburg State Mining Institute (Technical University)
  • 2 — Saint Petersburg State Mining Institute (Technical University)
Date submitted:
2009-08-02
Date accepted:
2009-10-29
Date published:
2010-04-22

Abstract

The paper is devoted to building up time series models to forecast the power consumption of a mine. The results discussed are obtained using various linear filter models and artificial neural network. The wavelet transform of the raw time series is shown to be an efficient technique to increase the forecasting accuracy.

Область исследования:
(Archived) Geotechnical engineering, powerengineering and automation
Keywords:
power consumption time series time series model forecasting
Funding:

None

Go to volume 186

References

  1. Box G., Jenkins G. Time series analysis: Forecasting and control. Moscow. Mir, 1974. Vol. 1. 406 p.; Vol.2., 197 p.
  2. Galushkin A.IJ. Neural Networks Theory. Vol.1: Tutorial/IPRZR. Moscow, 2000. 416 р.
  3. Novikov L.V. Introductory wavelet signal analysis: Tutorial. Saint Petersburg: IAnP RAN, 1999. 152 р.
  4. Shumilova G.P., Gotman N.E., Startzeva T.B. Forecasting the power consumption of power grid on the basis of novel information technologies. Yekaterinburg: UrO RAN, 2002. 25 р.

Similar articles

Analysis of statistical data of lecture of the alloyed steels
2010 R. V. Kurtenkov
The analyses of influence of goafs on the state of developmental excavations as applies to Starobinsky potassium salt deposit
2010 A. P. Gospodarikov, L. A. Bespalov
The North African campaign and its role in the World War II
2010 O. O. Tikhonov, K. V. Fedorov, O. Yu. Plenkov
Mathematical model of impact energy pulse changes in «rock drill – rod – rock» system of rotary-percussion drill rigs
2010 S. A. Resheten
Study of the opening of copper presence electrolytic slimes of the copper production
2010 S. A. Modestova
Geomechanical substantiation of parameters of the fastening of railway tunnels in the conditions of the North Caucasus
2010 N. A. Belyakov