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Vol 197
Pages:
107
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Modern instruments of quantitative risk analysis and risk assessment of innovation projects

Authors:
N. G. Privalov1
A. N. Kozlovskii2
V. N. Petrov3
About authors
  • 1 — National Mineral Resources University (University of Mines)
  • 2 — National Mineral Resources University (University of Mines)
  • 3 — Saint Petersburg State Forestry Engineering University
Date submitted:
2011-09-24
Date accepted:
2011-11-23
Date published:
2012-03-01

Abstract

The detailed analysis of quantitative methods of innovation projects’ risk assessment  is made, the advantages and limits of several methods are shown. The possibilities of usage of the most modern methods of risk assessment, including real options method and method of multivariate fuzzy analysis, are characterized.

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References

  1. Виленский П.Л. Оценка эффективности инвестиционных проектов. Теория и практика / В.Н.Лившиц, С.А.Смоляк. М., 2004.
  2. Грачева М.В. Управление рисками в инновационной деятельности / М.В.Грачева, С.Ю.Ляпина. М., 2010.
  3. Деревянко П.М. Сравнение нечеткого и имитационного подхода к моделированию деятельности пред- приятия в условиях неопределенности // Современные проблемы экономики и управления народным хозяйством: Сб. науч. статей. СПб, 2005. Вып.14.
  4. Сергеев В.А. Основы инновационного проектирования: Учеб. пособие / В.А.Сергеев, Е.В.Кипчарская, Д.К.Подымало; Под ред. В.А.Сергеева. Ульяновск, 2006.
  5. Трубачеев Е.В. Инвестиционная стратегия: Учеб. курс. М., 2010.
  6. Черных Е. Инновации как реальные опционы, или планирование непредсказуемого // Менеджмент качества. 2008. № 3.

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