Instrumental methods of technogenic risk management of environmentally negative events in industrial regions (the example of the Urals)
About authors
- 1 — Ural State Technical University
- 2 — Ural State Technical University
- 3 — Ural State Technical University
- 4 — Уральский государственный технический университет – УПИ
Abstract
One of the blocks of the software package oriented to the modeling of ecological dynamics in an industrial region is considered. Some features of existing models and software products used in the world practice are discussed. A new approach, applicable in conditions of incomplete information and insufficient statistics, is proposed. The central point of the work is a generator of scenarios of ecological dynamics, based on a suitable probabilistic combination of traditional models and expert evaluations.
Область исследования:
(Archived) Seismic safety, reduction of risks and mitigation of the consequences of natural and man-made disasters
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