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    <journal-meta>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="issn">2411-3336</journal-id>
      <journal-id journal-id-type="eissn">2541-9404</journal-id>
      <journal-title-group>
        <journal-title xml:lang="ru">Записки Горного института</journal-title>
        <journal-title xml:lang="en">Journal of Mining Institute</journal-title>
      </journal-title-group>
      <publisher>
        <publisher-name xml:lang="ru">Санкт-Петербургский горный университет императрицы Екатерины ΙΙ</publisher-name>
        <publisher-name xml:lang="en">Empress Catherine II Saint Petersburg Mining University</publisher-name>
      </publisher>
    </journal-meta>
    <article-meta>
      <article-id custom-type="edn" pub-id-type="custom">WQKTLN</article-id>
      <article-id custom-type="pmi" pub-id-type="custom">pmi-16914</article-id>
      <article-id pub-id-type="uri">https://pmi.spmi.ru/pmi/article/view/16914</article-id>
      <article-categories>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru">
          <subject>Геология</subject>
        </subj-group>
        <subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en">
          <subject>Geology</subject>
        </subj-group>
      </article-categories>
      <title-group>
        <article-title xml:lang="en">Radon monitoring possibilities in short-term earthquake prediction</article-title>
        <trans-title-group xml:lang="ru">
          <trans-title>Возможности радонового мониторинга в краткосрочном прогнозе землетрясений</trans-title>
        </trans-title-group>
      </title-group>
      <contrib-group>
        <contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes">
          <name name-style="eastern">
            <surname>Kozlova</surname>
            <given-names>Irina A.</given-names>
          </name>
          <name-alternatives>
            <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
              <surname>Козлова</surname>
              <given-names>И. А.</given-names>
            </name>
            <name name-style="western" xml:lang="en">
              <surname>Kozlova</surname>
              <given-names>Irina A.</given-names>
            </name>
          </name-alternatives>
          <email>ikozlova75@mail.ru</email>
          <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">0000-0002-0281-9218</contrib-id>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff1"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff-alternatives id="aff1">
          <aff>
            <institution xml:lang="ru">Институт геофизики им. Ю.П.Булашевича УрО РАН (Екатеринбург, Россия)</institution>
          </aff>
          <aff>
            <institution xml:lang="en">Institute of Geophysics, Ural Branch of the RAS (Yekaterinburg, Russia)</institution>
          </aff>
        </aff-alternatives>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name name-style="eastern">
            <surname>Biryulin</surname>
            <given-names>Sergei V.</given-names>
          </name>
          <name-alternatives>
            <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
              <surname>Бирюлин</surname>
              <given-names>С. В.</given-names>
            </name>
            <name name-style="western" xml:lang="en">
              <surname>Biryulin</surname>
              <given-names>Sergei V.</given-names>
            </name>
          </name-alternatives>
          <email>serrega2009@gmail.com</email>
          <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">0000-0003-4811-9185</contrib-id>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff2"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff-alternatives id="aff2">
          <aff>
            <institution xml:lang="ru">Институт геофизики им. Ю.П.Булашевича УрО РАН (Екатеринбург, Россия)</institution>
          </aff>
          <aff>
            <institution xml:lang="en">nstitute of Geophysics, Ural Branch of the RAS (Yekaterinburg, Russia)</institution>
          </aff>
        </aff-alternatives>
        <contrib contrib-type="author">
          <name name-style="eastern">
            <surname>Yurkov</surname>
            <given-names>Anatolii K.</given-names>
          </name>
          <name-alternatives>
            <name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru">
              <surname>Юрков</surname>
              <given-names>А. К.</given-names>
            </name>
            <name name-style="western" xml:lang="en">
              <surname>Yurkov</surname>
              <given-names>Anatolii K.</given-names>
            </name>
          </name-alternatives>
          <email>akyurkov@mail.ru</email>
          <contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">0000-0002-6790-0340</contrib-id>
          <xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff3"/>
        </contrib>
        <aff-alternatives id="aff3">
          <aff>
            <institution xml:lang="ru">Институт геофизики им. Ю.П.Булашевича УрО РАН (Екатеринбург, Россия)</institution>
          </aff>
          <aff>
            <institution xml:lang="en">Institute of Geophysics, Ural Branch of the RAS (Yekaterinburg, Russia)</institution>
          </aff>
        </aff-alternatives>
      </contrib-group>
      <pub-date pub-type="epub" iso-8601-date="2026-09-02">
        <day>02</day>
        <month>09</month>
        <year>2026</year>
      </pub-date>
      <pub-date date-type="collection">
        <year>2026</year>
      </pub-date>
      <volume>280</volume>
      <fpage>122</fpage>
      <lpage>130</lpage>
      <history>
        <date date-type="received" iso-8601-date="2026-02-24">
          <day>24</day>
          <month>02</month>
          <year>2026</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="accepted" iso-8601-date="2026-06-25">
          <day>25</day>
          <month>06</month>
          <year>2026</year>
        </date>
        <date date-type="rev-recd" iso-8601-date="2026-08-31">
          <day>31</day>
          <month>08</month>
          <year>2026</year>
        </date>
      </history>
      <permissions>
        <copyright-statement xml:lang="ru">© 2026 И. А. Козлова, С. В. Бирюлин, А. К. Юрков</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-statement xml:lang="en">© 2026 Irina A. Kozlova, Sergei V. Biryulin, Anatolii K. Yurkov</copyright-statement>
        <copyright-year>2026</copyright-year>
        <copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">И. А. Козлова, С. В. Бирюлин, А. К. Юрков</copyright-holder>
        <copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Irina A. Kozlova, Sergei V. Biryulin, Anatolii K. Yurkov</copyright-holder>
        <license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0" xml:lang="ru">
          <license-p>Эта статья доступна по лицензии Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)</license-p>
        </license>
        <license license-type="open-access" xlink:href="http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0" xml:lang="en">
          <license-p>This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (CC BY 4.0)</license-p>
        </license>
      </permissions>
      <self-uri xlink:type="simple" xlink:href="https://pmi.spmi.ru/pmi/article/view/16914">https://pmi.spmi.ru/pmi/article/view/16914</self-uri>
      <abstract xml:lang="ru">
        <p>Анализ результатов тринадцатилетних радоновых исследований на Южных Курилах позволил установить наличие надежной взаимосвязи между тектоническими событиями и аномальными содержаниями наблюдаемого радона (ОАР), извлекаемого из приповерхностного слоя. Аномалии радона сопоставлены с землетрясениями магнитудой выше 4 из каталога Геологической службы США (USGS), произошедшими в радиусе 500 км от пункта наблюдения. Удалось разделить эпицентры тектонических событий на группы, различающиеся по расстоянию относительно точки мониторинга. Землетрясения всегда происходят после максимума предшествующей радоновой аномалии. События первой группы относятся к ближней зоне и находятся в радиусе менее 130 км от точки радонового мониторинга. События второй группы относятся к дальней зоне и находятся на расстоянии более 180 км от точки радонового мониторинга. Предложенный способ определения времени и места тектонического события является результатом проведенных исследований. Основа предложенного способа – измерение концентрации почвенного радона на четырех пространственно-разнесенных точках в углах квадрата с расстоянием между соседними точками 180 км, что соответствует расстоянию дальней зоны. Если аномальная концентрация объемной активности радона фиксируется на одной из станций наблюдения, выполняется проверка наличия радоновых аномалий на других пунктах. При фиксировании аномалии радона как минимум на одном из остальных пунктов наблюдения тектоническое событие ожидается в пределах шести суток с момента максимума радоновой аномалии в пространственных пределах, ограниченных 130 км относительно пункта наблюдения, на котором была зафиксирована первая аномалия ОАР. Предложенный способ применим при защите конкретных объектов в условиях повышенной сейсмической активности. Эффективность способа обуславливается выполнением положений разработанной методики измерений.</p>
      </abstract>
      <abstract xml:lang="en">
        <p>Analysis of the results of thirteen-year radon studies in the Southern Kuril Islands allowed us to establish a reliable relationship between tectonic events and anomalous concentrations of observed radon (VRA) extracted from the near-surface layer. Radon anomalies were compared with earthquakes of magnitude higher than 4 from the United States Geological Survey (USGS) catalog, which occurred within a radius of 500 km from the observation point. It was possible to divide the epicenters of tectonic events into groups that differ in distance relative to the monitoring point. Earthquakes always occur after the maximum of the preceding radon anomaly. Events of the first group belong to the near zone and are located within a radius of less than 130 km from the radon monitoring point. Events of the second group belong to the far zone and are located at a distance of more than 180 km from the radon monitoring point. The proposed method for determining the time and place of a tectonic event is the result of research. The proposed method is based on measuring the concentration of soil radon at four spatially separated points in the corners of a square with a distance between neighboring points of 180 km, which corresponds to the distance of the far zone. If an abnormal concentration of volume radon activity is detected at one of the observation stations, the presence of radon anomalies at other points is checked. If a radon anomaly is detected at least at one of the other observation points, a tectonic event is expected within six days from the moment of the maximum radon anomaly in the spatial boundaries limited to 130 km relative to the observation point where the first VRA anomaly was recorded. The proposed method is applicable for protecting specific objects in conditions of increased seismic activity. The effectiveness of the method is determined by the fulfillment of the provisions of the developed measurement methodology.</p>
      </abstract>
      <kwd-group xml:lang="ru">
        <title>Ключевые слова</title>
        <kwd>мониторинг</kwd>
        <kwd>радон</kwd>
        <kwd>землетрясение</kwd>
        <kwd>предвестники</kwd>
        <kwd>краткосрочный прогноз</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
      <kwd-group xml:lang="en">
        <title>Keywords</title>
        <kwd>monitoring</kwd>
        <kwd>radon</kwd>
        <kwd>earthquake</kwd>
        <kwd>precursors</kwd>
        <kwd>short-term prediction</kwd>
      </kwd-group>
      <funding-group>
        <funding-statement xml:lang="ru">Работа выполнена по Государственному заданию ИГФ УрО РАН № 125032604464-7.</funding-statement>
        <funding-statement xml:lang="en">The work was carried out according to the State assignment of IGF UB RAS № 125032604464-7.</funding-statement>
      </funding-group>
    </article-meta>
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